Statistics and risk

Subgroup analysis

An analysis testing whether results differ within a smaller defined group.

What it means

Definition

Subgroup analysis. Subgroup analyses can be useful, but they are often underpowered and prone to false positives. They are strongest when pre-specified, biologically plausible and replicated.

What it can tell you

It can help clarify what sort of evidence or claim is being discussed.

What it cannot tell you

It cannot, by itself, prove that the headline is accurate or clinically important.

Headline trap

Why this matters in headlines

A treatment may appear to work only in one subgroup by chance if many subgroups were explored.