Statistics and risk

Absolute risk reduction

The arithmetic difference in event rates between two groups.

What it means

Definition

Absolute risk reduction. Absolute risk reduction shows how many fewer events occurred in one group compared with another. It is one of the clearest ways to judge the real-world magnitude of a benefit.

What it can tell you

It can show whether a result is being framed as a proportion, percentage or real-world difference.

What it cannot tell you

It cannot show whether the effect is important unless the baseline risk, population and outcome are clear.

Headline trap

Why this matters in headlines

If events fall from 10% to 8%, the relative reduction is 20%, but the absolute risk reduction is 2 percentage points.