Statistics and risk

Effect size

The magnitude of a difference, association or treatment effect.

What it means

Definition

Effect size. Effect size is central to judging whether a claim is proportionate. A study can identify a real association while the measured effect remains too small to justify a dramatic headline.

What it can tell you

It can help clarify what sort of evidence or claim is being discussed.

What it cannot tell you

It cannot, by itself, prove that the headline is accurate or clinically important.

Headline trap

Why this matters in headlines

deHype reports look for whether the article explains how big the effect actually was.