Evidence quality

Correlation

A relationship where two variables tend to change together.

What it means

Definition

Correlation. Correlation describes a pattern, not a proven cause. The relationship may reflect causation, reverse causation, confounding or coincidence.

What it can tell you

It can help separate an observed association from a tested causal claim.

What it cannot tell you

It cannot remove confounding or prove causation without stronger study design and analysis.

Headline trap

Why this matters in headlines

Ice cream sales and sunburn correlate in summer, but ice cream does not cause sunburn.